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Red35
447623.5
478314.8
35718.4
Blue35
495119.8
697511.7
493623.4
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions39382530354550553535

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.5
Auto5.4
Teleop13.5
End4.6
red by 0.1
23.4
Auto5.7
Teleop14.7
End2.9
Second
4783
#30
14.8
Auto5.0
Teleop5.9
End3.8
blue by 4.9
4951
#20
19.8
Auto4.5
Teleop11.5
End3.7
Third
3571
#38
8.4
Auto3.8
Teleop4.1
End0.5
blue by 3.3
6975
#34
11.7
Auto3.1
Teleop5.3
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
29%HAB Docking oddsMissed21%HAB Docking oddsMissed