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Red35
61026.5
270810.3
686413.3
Blue64
613521.8
686720.4
588525.5
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions50423040603564

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
610
#2
26.51.7
19.517.8
Auto4.6
Teleop14.6
End7.2
red by 1.0
25.52.7
14.216.9
Auto5.5
Teleop11.6
End8.4
Second
6864
#40
13.31.7
12.610.9
Auto4.5
Teleop5.5
End3.3
blue by 8.5
21.82.7
12.915.6
Auto5.2
Teleop12.4
End4.2
Third
2708
#39
10.31.7
15.613.8
Auto3.9
Teleop3.6
End2.8
blue by 10.2
20.42.7
12.915.6
Auto6.2
Teleop9.3
End5.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
33%HAB Docking oddsMissed30%HAB Docking oddsEarned