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Red34
493623.4
542614.7
76906.6
Blue52
452510.2
540913.9
220025.9
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3846202530355055603452

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.40.3
14.414.1
Auto5.7
Teleop14.7
End2.9
blue by 2.5
25.91.0
20.321.3
Auto3.8
Teleop14.3
End7.8
Second
5426
#33
14.70.3
10.710.4
Auto5.4
Teleop7.0
End2.3
red by 0.8
5409
#12
13.91.0
10.511.4
Auto4.6
Teleop6.0
End3.3
Third
7690
#27
6.60.3
11.311.0
Auto3.5
Teleop0.9
End2.3
blue by 3.6
4525
#32
10.21.0
12.413.4
Auto2.7
Teleop4.4
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
23%HAB Docking oddsMissed44%HAB Docking oddsEarned