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Red73
494621.8
238622.2
451916.2
Blue34
607013.2
470410.3
270810.3
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions48361020304060707334

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.21.9
16.018.0
Auto5.4
Teleop8.5
End8.2
red by 8.9
6070
#23
13.20.3
10.410.1
Auto5.4
Teleop6.1
End1.8
Second
4946
#16
21.81.9
16.218.1
Auto3.6
Teleop13.5
End4.8
red by 11.5
4704
#37
10.30.3
9.69.3
Auto2.4
Teleop6.1
End1.8
Third
4519
#17
16.21.9
13.315.2
Auto4.3
Teleop7.8
End4.1
red by 5.9
2708
#39
10.30.3
13.813.5
Auto3.9
Teleop3.6
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
55%HAB Docking oddsEarned31%HAB Docking oddsMissed