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Red63
503618.6
447623.5
686720.4
Blue40
478314.8
771011.3
613521.8
91%Model gave it9%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions473520304050606340

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.52.0
13.215.2
Auto5.4
Teleop13.5
End4.6
red by 1.6
21.80.7
15.616.3
Auto5.2
Teleop12.4
End4.2
Second
20.42.0
15.617.6
Auto6.2
Teleop9.3
End5.0
red by 5.6
4783
#30
14.80.7
8.89.6
Auto5.0
Teleop5.9
End3.8
Third
5036
#19
18.62.0
16.218.2
Auto4.2
Teleop11.6
End2.8
red by 7.3
7710
#26
11.30.7
9.09.8
Auto4.4
Teleop4.1
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
36%HAB Docking oddsMissed29%HAB Docking oddsMissed