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Red58
61026.5
607013.2
588525.5
Blue49
478314.8
773514.6
415221.5
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions50351020304060705849

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
610
#2
26.51.1
19.520.6
Auto4.6
Teleop14.6
End7.2
red by 4.9
4152
#14
21.51.8
13.815.6
Auto5.0
Teleop12.1
End4.5
Second
25.51.1
18.219.4
Auto5.5
Teleop11.6
End8.4
red by 10.7
4783
#30
14.81.8
9.611.4
Auto5.0
Teleop5.9
End3.8
Third
6070
#23
13.21.1
10.111.2
Auto5.4
Teleop6.1
End1.8
blue by 1.4
7735
#22
14.61.8
9.511.3
Auto4.6
Teleop6.5
End3.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
54%HAB Docking oddsEarned24%HAB Docking oddsMissed