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Red58
698713.9
771011.3
220025.9
Blue49
35718.4
613521.8
490720.1
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions504720304060705849

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.90.8
23.424.2
Auto3.8
Teleop14.3
End7.8
red by 4.1
21.80.5
19.319.8
Auto5.2
Teleop12.4
End4.2
Second
6987
#11
13.90.8
13.514.3
Auto4.0
Teleop6.2
End3.7
blue by 6.1
20.10.5
15.516.0
Auto4.0
Teleop7.3
End8.8
Third
7710
#26
11.30.8
10.711.6
Auto4.4
Teleop4.1
End2.8
red by 2.9
3571
#38
8.40.5
9.610.1
Auto3.8
Teleop4.1
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsEarned2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
72%HAB Docking oddsEarned58%HAB Docking oddsEarned