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Red26
503618.6
75649.0
686413.3
Blue39
686720.4
685912.0
76906.6
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4044102030506070802639

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5036
#19
18.61.3
17.015.7
Auto4.2
Teleop11.6
End2.8
blue by 1.8
20.40.9
20.019.1
Auto6.2
Teleop9.3
End5.0
Second
6864
#40
13.31.3
12.110.8
Auto4.5
Teleop5.5
End3.3
red by 1.3
6859
#35
12.00.9
11.810.9
Auto4.3
Teleop4.8
End3.0
Third
7564
#31
9.01.3
8.97.5
Auto4.8
Teleop1.7
End2.5
red by 2.4
7690
#27
6.60.9
9.68.6
Auto3.5
Teleop0.9
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
24%HAB Docking oddsMissed35%HAB Docking oddsMissed