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Red48
542614.7
494621.8
75649.0
Blue51
503618.6
613521.8
773514.6
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions375010203060704851

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4946
#16
21.81.4
17.518.9
Auto3.6
Teleop13.5
End4.8
Level
21.80.4
19.820.3
Auto5.2
Teleop12.4
End4.2
Second
5426
#33
14.71.4
10.411.8
Auto5.4
Teleop7.0
End2.3
blue by 3.9
5036
#19
18.60.4
15.716.1
Auto4.2
Teleop11.6
End2.8
Third
7564
#31
9.01.4
7.58.9
Auto4.8
Teleop1.7
End2.5
blue by 5.6
7735
#22
14.60.4
11.512.0
Auto4.6
Teleop6.5
End3.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
22%HAB Docking oddsMissed33%HAB Docking oddsMissed