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Red78
490720.1
478314.8
495119.8
Blue30
270810.3
686615.8
771011.3
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions454220305060707830

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20.12.5
16.018.5
Auto4.0
Teleop7.3
End8.8
red by 4.2
6866
#29
15.81.0
16.014.9
Auto5.2
Teleop7.3
End3.3
Second
4951
#20
19.82.5
13.716.2
Auto4.5
Teleop11.5
End3.7
red by 8.4
7710
#26
11.31.0
11.610.5
Auto4.4
Teleop4.1
End2.8
Third
4783
#30
14.82.5
13.115.5
Auto5.0
Teleop5.9
End3.8
red by 4.5
2708
#39
10.31.0
11.810.7
Auto3.9
Teleop3.6
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
49%HAB Docking oddsEarned18%HAB Docking oddsMissed