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Red26
771011.3
470410.3
697511.7
Blue61
415221.5
686413.3
542614.7
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions364420304050602661

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6975
#34
11.70.9
13.112.2
Auto3.1
Teleop5.3
End3.2
blue by 9.9
4152
#14
21.51.1
18.819.9
Auto5.0
Teleop12.1
End4.5
Second
7710
#26
11.30.9
10.59.6
Auto4.4
Teleop4.1
End2.8
blue by 3.4
5426
#33
14.71.1
11.812.9
Auto5.4
Teleop7.0
End2.3
Third
4704
#37
10.30.8
10.59.7
Auto2.4
Teleop6.1
End1.8
blue by 3.0
6864
#40
13.31.1
10.611.8
Auto4.5
Teleop5.5
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
13%HAB Docking oddsMissed13%HAB Docking oddsMissed