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Red64
415221.5
495119.8
607013.2
Blue44
761412.1
503618.6
270810.3
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions534320306070806444

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4152
#14
21.51.1
20.521.7
Auto5.0
Teleop12.1
End4.5
red by 2.9
5036
#19
18.60.3
19.219.5
Auto4.2
Teleop11.6
End2.8
Second
4951
#20
19.81.4
18.119.4
Auto4.5
Teleop11.5
End3.7
red by 7.7
7614
#28
12.10.3
11.111.4
Auto3.3
Teleop6.7
End2.0
Third
6070
#23
13.21.1
11.312.5
Auto5.4
Teleop6.1
End1.8
red by 3.0
2708
#39
10.30.3
10.010.3
Auto3.9
Teleop3.6
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
22%HAB Docking oddsMissed18%HAB Docking oddsMissed