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Red60
401514.6
761412.1
493623.4
Blue56
697511.7
686413.3
607013.2
81%Model gave it19%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions51381020306070806056

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.40.7
22.823.6
Auto5.7
Teleop14.7
End2.9
red by 10.1
6864
#40
13.30.7
12.613.3
Auto4.5
Teleop5.5
End3.3
Second
4015
#13
14.60.6
14.014.6
Auto3.2
Teleop7.9
End3.5
red by 1.4
6070
#23
13.20.7
12.513.2
Auto5.4
Teleop6.1
End1.8
Third
7614
#28
12.10.6
11.412.1
Auto3.3
Teleop6.7
End2.0
red by 0.4
6975
#34
11.70.8
10.811.7
Auto3.1
Teleop5.3
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed1%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
18%HAB Docking oddsMissed13%HAB Docking oddsMissed