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Red77
128520.7
61626.5
540634.1
Blue32
503622.0
133414.8
507616.7
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions474630405060707732

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
34.13.3
18.521.8
Auto6.1
Teleop19.1
End8.9
red by 12.1
22.00.9
18.617.8
Auto4.0
Teleop14.1
End3.9
Second
20.73.3
15.418.7
Auto3.9
Teleop9.3
End7.4
red by 4.0
5076
#18
16.71.3
11.29.9
Auto5.0
Teleop9.6
End2.1
Third
6.53.3
10.513.8
Auto2.3
Teleop2.0
End2.2
blue by 8.3
1334
#14
14.81.3
13.912.6
Auto4.2
Teleop6.5
End4.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsEarned2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
30%HAB Docking oddsEarned23%HAB Docking oddsMissed