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Red36
503622.0
686617.5
61626.5
Blue43
133414.8
42528.1
503114.6
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions493910203060703643

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.00.7
17.316.6
Auto4.0
Teleop14.1
End3.9
red by 7.3
1334
#14
14.80.7
13.013.7
Auto4.2
Teleop6.5
End4.1
Second
6866
#22
17.50.7
15.214.5
Auto5.4
Teleop10.3
End1.8
red by 2.9
5031
#26
14.60.4
13.113.5
Auto4.9
Teleop6.6
End3.1
Third
6.51.2
13.912.8
Auto2.3
Teleop2.0
End2.2
blue by 1.6
4252
#27
8.10.7
10.511.2
Auto2.8
Teleop3.9
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
21%HAB Docking oddsMissed28%HAB Docking oddsMissed