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Red65
686724.1
502422.0
686617.5
Blue22
503114.6
61626.5
133414.8
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions504220306070806522

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
24.10.8
20.521.2
Auto6.0
Teleop13.3
End4.8
red by 9.3
1334
#14
14.82.0
13.711.7
Auto4.2
Teleop6.5
End4.1
Second
22.01.3
12.513.8
Auto5.3
Teleop9.1
End7.7
red by 7.4
5031
#26
14.61.2
13.512.3
Auto4.9
Teleop6.6
End3.1
Third
6866
#22
17.50.8
14.515.3
Auto5.4
Teleop10.3
End1.8
red by 11.0
6.52.0
12.810.8
Auto2.3
Teleop2.0
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed4%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
17%HAB Docking oddsMissed32%HAB Docking oddsMissed