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Red59
752014.8
771011.9
503622.0
Blue49
540634.1
503916.7
124614.7
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions45573040506070805949

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.00.5
17.718.2
Auto4.0
Teleop14.1
End3.9
blue by 12.1
34.10.5
28.728.2
Auto6.1
Teleop19.1
End8.9
Second
7520
#20
14.80.8
11.512.4
Auto5.0
Teleop7.3
End2.5
blue by 1.9
5039
#13
16.70.5
15.815.2
Auto5.1
Teleop8.6
End3.0
Third
7710
#29
11.90.5
13.113.6
Auto5.3
Teleop3.8
End2.8
blue by 2.8
1246
#19
14.70.5
9.18.6
Auto4.2
Teleop6.1
End4.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
11%HAB Docking oddsMissed52%HAB Docking oddsMissed