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Red69
493917.1
503622.0
128520.7
Blue38
713613.3
133414.8
771011.9
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions594120305070806938

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.00.5
19.119.6
Auto4.0
Teleop14.1
End3.9
red by 7.3
1334
#14
14.80.1
13.913.8
Auto4.2
Teleop6.5
End4.1
Second
20.70.6
19.820.4
Auto3.9
Teleop9.3
End7.4
red by 7.4
7136
#23
13.30.1
13.513.5
Auto2.7
Teleop7.2
End3.5
Third
4939
#10
17.10.5
17.017.5
Auto4.2
Teleop9.6
End3.2
red by 5.2
7710
#29
11.90.1
11.611.5
Auto5.3
Teleop3.8
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
47%HAB Docking oddsEarned24%HAB Docking oddsMissed