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Red58
59117.3
687817.5
769015.7
Blue45
430817.6
771011.9
571917.1
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions384710203060705845

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
17.51.2
15.516.7
Auto5.2
Teleop9.9
End2.4
blue by 0.1
4308
#28
17.60.2
16.316.1
Auto4.2
Teleop11.1
End2.3
Second
7690
#12
15.71.1
14.115.2
Auto5.3
Teleop6.9
End3.5
blue by 1.4
5719
#11
17.10.2
16.516.3
Auto4.6
Teleop8.5
End4.0
Third
5911
#21
7.31.2
6.17.3
Auto2.5
Teleop2.6
End2.2
blue by 4.6
7710
#29
11.90.2
11.911.7
Auto5.3
Teleop3.8
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsEarned4%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
18%HAB Docking oddsMissed15%HAB Docking oddsMissed