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Red32
42528.1
493917.1
502422.0
Blue59
745614.1
540634.1
9198.4
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions464402060803259

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.01.3
12.811.5
Auto5.3
Teleop9.1
End7.7
blue by 12.1
34.11.9
21.823.7
Auto6.1
Teleop19.1
End8.9
Second
4939
#10
17.10.8
18.417.6
Auto4.2
Teleop9.6
End3.2
red by 3.0
7456
#16
14.11.9
10.612.5
Auto3.7
Teleop6.3
End4.1
Third
4252
#27
8.11.3
12.210.9
Auto2.8
Teleop3.9
End1.4
blue by 0.3
919
#30
8.41.9
9.411.3
Auto3.6
Teleop4.0
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
44%HAB Docking oddsMissed39%HAB Docking oddsEarned