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Red53
111430.8
131021.1
77117.0
Blue18
651313.8
701310.7
750917.5
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions51372030406070805318

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.80.5
22.923.4
Auto4.0
Teleop18.7
End8.1
red by 13.3
7509
#14
17.51.9
12.710.8
Auto5.4
Teleop7.4
End4.7
Second
1310
#10
21.10.5
14.414.9
Auto5.8
Teleop11.3
End4.1
red by 7.4
6513
#15
13.81.9
11.19.3
Auto4.3
Teleop5.1
End4.4
Third
771
#31
17.00.5
10.911.5
Auto4.9
Teleop9.1
End3.0
red by 6.3
7013
#26
10.71.9
11.19.2
Auto4.5
Teleop3.3
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
39%HAB Docking oddsEarned13%HAB Docking oddsMissed