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Red68
137418.3
403924.1
493917.6
Blue33
79029.6
240511.0
293515.6
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions484601001502006833

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
24.12.2
19.621.7
Auto4.9
Teleop13.2
End6.1
red by 8.5
2935
#21
15.61.5
17.516.0
Auto5.2
Teleop7.9
End2.5
Second
1374
#11
18.32.2
12.114.3
Auto5.0
Teleop8.6
End4.7
red by 7.3
2405
#25
11.01.5
15.013.5
Auto3.4
Teleop6.6
End0.9
Third
17.62.2
13.715.9
Auto4.5
Teleop8.5
End4.6
red by 8.0
7902
#29
9.61.5
11.09.5
Auto3.5
Teleop3.6
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
26%HAB Docking oddsEarned24%HAB Docking oddsMissed