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Red46
86520.3
434316.0
701310.7
Blue47
762314.1
60099.8
137418.3
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions484010203060704647

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
865
#22
20.30.2
15.915.6
Auto5.1
Teleop10.8
End4.4
red by 2.0
1374
#11
18.31.0
15.416.4
Auto5.0
Teleop8.6
End4.7
Second
4343
#32
16.00.2
18.117.8
Auto4.9
Teleop7.4
End3.7
red by 1.8
7623
#27
14.11.0
12.913.9
Auto5.0
Teleop6.4
End2.8
Third
7013
#26
10.70.2
11.211.0
Auto4.5
Teleop3.3
End2.8
red by 0.9
6009
#30
9.81.0
9.810.8
Auto4.5
Teleop2.0
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
16%HAB Docking oddsMissed19%HAB Docking oddsMissed