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Red54
697710.5
111430.8
587012.0
Blue24
219810.8
493917.6
240511.0
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions50411020306070805424

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.80.7
25.025.7
Auto4.0
Teleop18.7
End8.1
red by 13.2
17.61.6
15.914.3
Auto4.5
Teleop8.5
End4.6
Second
5870
#23
12.00.7
12.012.8
Auto5.3
Teleop3.9
End2.8
red by 1.0
2405
#25
11.01.6
13.912.3
Auto3.4
Teleop6.6
End0.9
Third
6977
#17
10.50.7
10.411.2
Auto3.0
Teleop4.5
End3.1
blue by 0.3
2198
#18
10.81.6
9.07.3
Auto3.5
Teleop3.7
End3.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
37%HAB Docking oddsEarned25%HAB Docking oddsMissed