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Red63
503114.0
111430.8
697812.5
Blue38
131021.1
430815.2
85418.0
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions50442030406070806338

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.81.7
19.421.1
Auto4.0
Teleop18.7
End8.1
red by 9.6
1310
#10
21.10.7
15.114.4
Auto5.8
Teleop11.3
End4.1
Second
5031
#12
14.01.7
13.014.8
Auto3.0
Teleop7.1
End3.9
blue by 3.9
854
#13
18.00.7
13.612.9
Auto5.0
Teleop8.5
End4.5
Third
12.51.7
15.016.7
Auto3.5
Teleop3.9
End5.0
blue by 2.6
4308
#16
15.20.7
12.812.0
Auto3.7
Teleop9.1
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsEarned2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
32%HAB Docking oddsEarned28%HAB Docking oddsMissed