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Red51
60099.8
750917.5
583418.5
Blue62
430815.2
77117.0
61419.9
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions44391020305060705162

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
18.50.8
17.618.5
Auto4.2
Teleop7.6
End6.7
red by 1.6
771
#31
17.02.0
12.614.6
Auto4.9
Teleop9.1
End3.0
Second
7509
#14
17.50.8
14.515.3
Auto5.4
Teleop7.4
End4.7
red by 2.4
4308
#16
15.22.0
16.718.7
Auto3.7
Teleop9.1
End2.3
Third
6009
#30
9.80.8
9.610.4
Auto4.5
Teleop2.0
End3.3
blue by 0.1
6141
#24
9.92.1
7.59.6
Auto4.1
Teleop3.7
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
17%HAB Docking oddsEarned13%HAB Docking oddsMissed