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Red44
293515.6
701310.7
85418.0
Blue72
403924.1
86520.3
79029.6
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions485330406070804472

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
854
#13
18.00.1
17.317.2
Auto5.0
Teleop8.5
End4.5
blue by 6.1
24.12.0
23.825.8
Auto4.9
Teleop13.2
End6.1
Second
2935
#21
15.60.1
16.916.8
Auto5.2
Teleop7.9
End2.5
blue by 4.7
865
#22
20.32.0
17.219.2
Auto5.1
Teleop10.8
End4.4
Third
7013
#26
10.70.1
11.311.1
Auto4.5
Teleop3.3
End2.8
red by 1.0
7902
#29
9.62.0
8.810.7
Auto3.5
Teleop3.6
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed4%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
23%HAB Docking oddsMissed22%HAB Docking oddsEarned