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Red45
430815.2
403924.1
587012.0
Blue70
111430.8
137418.3
240511.0
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions58604550556570754570

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
24.11.2
25.123.9
Auto4.9
Teleop13.2
End6.1
blue by 6.7
30.80.4
28.729.0
Auto4.0
Teleop18.7
End8.1
Second
4308
#16
15.21.2
17.316.1
Auto3.7
Teleop9.1
End2.3
blue by 3.2
1374
#11
18.30.4
17.217.6
Auto5.0
Teleop8.6
End4.7
Third
5870
#23
12.01.2
12.511.3
Auto5.3
Teleop3.9
End2.8
red by 1.0
2405
#25
11.00.3
10.711.0
Auto3.4
Teleop6.6
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed5%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
51%HAB Docking oddsMissed65%HAB Docking oddsMissed