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Red51
90717.5
493917.6
293515.6
Blue70
86520.3
403924.1
219810.8
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5458203040507080905170

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
17.60.0
17.617.6
Auto4.5
Teleop8.5
End4.6
blue by 6.5
24.10.2
23.924.1
Auto4.9
Teleop13.2
End6.1
Second
907
#19
17.50.0
17.517.5
Auto5.6
Teleop7.1
End4.8
blue by 2.8
865
#22
20.30.2
20.120.3
Auto5.1
Teleop10.8
End4.4
Third
2935
#21
15.60.0
15.615.6
Auto5.2
Teleop7.9
End2.5
red by 4.8
2198
#18
10.80.2
10.610.8
Auto3.5
Teleop3.7
End3.6