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Red51
77216.5
766417.8
496815.4
Blue70
270219.2
406918.9
702215.6
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions535350556065705170

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
17.80.1
18.018.0
Auto3.5
Teleop11.3
End3.0
blue by 1.4
2702
#17
19.20.4
18.118.5
Auto4.2
Teleop12.1
End3.0
Second
772
#9
16.50.1
16.716.6
Auto4.1
Teleop9.0
End3.4
blue by 2.4
18.90.5
17.718.2
Auto4.0
Teleop6.8
End8.1
Third
4968
#16
15.40.1
15.615.6
Auto4.5
Teleop6.9
End4.1
blue by 0.2
7022
#15
15.60.5
14.414.9
Auto3.4
Teleop8.9
End3.3