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Red69
491718.2
497622.3
772213.6
Blue51
503918.2
548315.0
373914.0
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions55503040607080906951

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.30.4
21.722.1
Auto4.6
Teleop9.3
End8.5
red by 4.2
5039
#11
18.20.0
18.218.2
Auto5.2
Teleop11.0
End1.9
Second
4917
#10
18.20.4
17.618.0
Auto3.6
Teleop7.4
End7.1
red by 3.1
15.00.0
15.015.0
Auto3.1
Teleop9.4
End2.5
Third
7722
#27
13.60.4
13.013.4
Auto5.1
Teleop5.5
End3.0
blue by 0.4
3739
#26
14.00.0
14.014.0
Auto5.2
Teleop6.7
End2.2