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Red33
699216.3
491718.2
497622.3
Blue40
780010.6
124128.9
772213.6
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions48431020306070803340

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.31.7
13.812.1
Auto4.6
Teleop9.3
End8.5
blue by 6.6
28.90.1
20.120.0
Auto5.5
Teleop20.5
End3.0
Second
4917
#10
18.21.7
17.716.0
Auto3.6
Teleop7.4
End7.1
red by 4.6
7722
#27
13.60.1
9.89.7
Auto5.1
Teleop5.5
End3.0
Third
6992
#12
16.31.7
14.012.3
Auto4.6
Teleop9.1
End2.6
red by 5.7
7800
#19
10.60.1
11.110.9
Auto4.5
Teleop3.4
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
35%HAB Docking oddsMissed28%HAB Docking oddsMissed