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Red53
461710.0
766417.8
497622.3
Blue30
702215.6
63306.5
74758.2
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4037203050605330

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.31.6
16.317.9
Auto4.6
Teleop9.3
End8.5
red by 6.7
7022
#15
15.61.5
16.414.9
Auto3.4
Teleop8.9
End3.3
Second
17.81.0
13.314.3
Auto3.5
Teleop11.3
End3.0
red by 9.7
7475
#28
8.21.5
8.87.3
Auto2.8
Teleop2.2
End3.2
Third
4617
#23
10.01.6
8.610.3
Auto4.2
Teleop3.0
End2.8
red by 3.5
6330
#29
6.51.5
9.68.1
Auto2.1
Teleop2.1
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
5%Rocket oddsMissed4%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
21%HAB Docking oddsEarned18%HAB Docking oddsMissed