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Red50
467821.4
780010.6
74758.2
Blue43
772213.6
68567.8
491718.2
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions374110203050605043

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.41.6
17.118.7
Auto5.5
Teleop8.9
End7.1
red by 3.3
4917
#10
18.20.2
20.320.4
Auto3.6
Teleop7.4
End7.1
Second
7800
#19
10.61.6
10.912.6
Auto4.5
Teleop3.4
End2.8
blue by 3.0
7722
#27
13.60.2
9.59.7
Auto5.1
Teleop5.5
End3.0
Third
7475
#28
8.21.6
7.38.9
Auto2.8
Teleop2.2
End3.2
red by 0.3
6856
#32
7.80.2
8.68.8
Auto3.7
Teleop3.9
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
6%Rocket oddsMissed3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
20%HAB Docking oddsEarned28%HAB Docking oddsEarned