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Red62
591217.6
772213.6
467821.4
Blue68
124128.9
63306.5
548315.0
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions45502030406070806268

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.42.1
18.720.9
Auto5.5
Teleop8.9
End7.1
blue by 7.5
28.90.6
21.221.8
Auto5.5
Teleop20.5
End3.0
Second
5912
#14
17.62.1
14.316.4
Auto3.3
Teleop11.7
End2.6
red by 2.6
15.00.6
18.519.1
Auto3.1
Teleop9.4
End2.5
Third
7722
#27
13.62.1
9.711.8
Auto5.1
Teleop5.5
End3.0
red by 7.1
6330
#29
6.50.6
8.18.7
Auto2.1
Teleop2.1
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
6%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsEarned
HAB Docking
26%HAB Docking oddsEarned31%HAB Docking oddsMissed