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Red69
68759.5
591217.6
205639.1
Blue43
74758.2
491718.2
270219.2
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions61532030407080906943

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
39.10.3
30.831.1
Auto5.4
Teleop24.8
End8.9
red by 19.9
2702
#17
19.20.8
17.116.4
Auto4.2
Teleop12.1
End3.0
Second
5912
#14
17.60.3
16.717.0
Auto3.3
Teleop11.7
End2.6
blue by 0.6
4917
#10
18.20.8
20.920.1
Auto3.6
Teleop7.4
End7.1
Third
6875
#24
9.50.3
9.810.1
Auto5.3
Teleop2.0
End2.2
red by 1.4
7475
#28
8.20.8
11.811.0
Auto2.8
Teleop2.2
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
13%Rocket oddsMissed5%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
44%HAB Docking oddsEarned59%HAB Docking oddsEarned