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Red39
68549.2
270219.2
702215.6
Blue41
567213.9
467821.4
31618.4
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions424620305060703941

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2702
#17
19.20.0
16.416.3
Auto4.2
Teleop12.1
End3.0
blue by 2.2
21.40.3
21.020.6
Auto5.5
Teleop8.9
End7.1
Second
7022
#15
15.60.0
14.514.4
Auto3.4
Teleop8.9
End3.3
red by 1.8
5672
#25
13.90.3
13.713.4
Auto3.9
Teleop8.2
End1.8
Third
6854
#30
9.20.0
8.68.5
Auto3.5
Teleop1.8
End3.9
red by 0.8
3161
#31
8.40.3
9.39.0
Auto2.9
Teleop3.6
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed8%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
30%HAB Docking oddsMissed23%HAB Docking oddsMissed