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Red106
496815.4
205639.1
124128.9
Blue62
481415.0
368334.7
702215.6
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions796530405060709010011010662

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
39.12.3
34.136.4
Auto5.4
Teleop24.8
End8.9
red by 4.4
34.70.0
33.033.0
Auto5.7
Teleop22.6
End6.4
Second
28.92.3
27.730.0
Auto5.5
Teleop20.5
End3.0
red by 13.3
7022
#15
15.60.0
14.714.7
Auto3.4
Teleop8.9
End3.3
Third
4968
#16
15.42.5
13.315.7
Auto4.5
Teleop6.9
End4.1
red by 0.5
4814
#21
15.00.0
13.914.0
Auto4.3
Teleop9.9
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
34%Rocket oddsEarned11%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
75%HAB Docking oddsEarned19%HAB Docking oddsMissed