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Red89
205639.1
375612.9
766417.8
Blue47
270219.2
591217.6
461710.0
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions684830406080901008947

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
39.11.3
36.437.7
Auto5.4
Teleop24.8
End8.9
red by 19.9
2702
#17
19.20.1
18.018.1
Auto4.2
Teleop12.1
End3.0
Second
17.81.2
16.818.0
Auto3.5
Teleop11.3
End3.0
red by 0.2
5912
#14
17.60.1
17.817.9
Auto3.3
Teleop11.7
End2.6
Third
3756
#13
12.91.3
11.612.9
Auto4.7
Teleop6.6
End1.6
red by 2.9
4617
#23
10.00.1
9.910.0
Auto4.2
Teleop3.0
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
35%Rocket oddsEarned4%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
50%HAB Docking oddsMissed22%HAB Docking oddsMissed