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Red38
74758.2
375612.9
260918.2
Blue37
461710.0
481415.0
68549.2
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions393502060803837

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2609
#18
18.20.2
17.117.2
Auto5.7
Teleop8.5
End4.0
red by 3.3
4814
#21
15.00.7
13.712.9
Auto4.3
Teleop9.9
End0.9
Second
3756
#13
12.90.2
11.611.8
Auto4.7
Teleop6.6
End1.6
red by 2.9
4617
#23
10.00.7
10.09.3
Auto4.2
Teleop3.0
End2.8
Third
7475
#28
8.20.2
7.88.0
Auto2.8
Teleop2.2
End3.2
blue by 1.1
6854
#30
9.20.7
9.89.1
Auto3.5
Teleop1.8
End3.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
28%HAB Docking oddsMissed28%HAB Docking oddsMissed