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Red85
128525.2
111437.4
748016.5
Blue63
492017.3
705816.5
293515.2
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions815130406070901008563

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
37.40.2
36.536.6
Auto4.0
Teleop23.5
End9.9
red by 20.0
4920
#16
17.30.3
17.017.4
Auto4.2
Teleop6.1
End7.1
Second
25.20.2
24.324.5
Auto5.5
Teleop12.1
End7.6
red by 8.7
7058
#13
16.50.3
16.216.5
Auto4.3
Teleop6.1
End6.1
Third
7480
#22
16.50.2
15.615.8
Auto4.8
Teleop7.5
End4.1
red by 1.3
2935
#33
15.20.3
14.915.2
Auto4.6
Teleop7.1
End3.5