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Red61
77221.3
493622.8
499215.7
Blue33
263422.2
540918.7
542615.0
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions66603040507080906133

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.80.0
23.623.5
Auto5.2
Teleop11.5
End6.1
red by 0.6
2634
#18
22.20.5
22.622.1
Auto5.5
Teleop12.6
End4.1
Second
772
#9
21.30.0
22.122.1
Auto4.2
Teleop10.4
End6.8
red by 2.6
5409
#12
18.70.5
19.118.6
Auto5.2
Teleop7.7
End5.8
Third
4992
#15
15.70.0
16.516.5
Auto3.6
Teleop8.4
End3.6
red by 0.8
5426
#35
15.00.5
15.414.8
Auto5.0
Teleop7.4
End2.5