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Red58
490325.3
654418.7
78009.8
Blue50
542615.0
588526.3
494013.8
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions49572030406070805850

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4903
#11
25.30.4
24.825.2
Auto4.1
Teleop16.2
End5.0
blue by 1.0
5885
#10
26.30.4
25.224.7
Auto5.9
Teleop11.4
End9.0
Second
18.70.4
11.411.8
Auto5.2
Teleop7.9
End5.6
red by 3.7
5426
#35
15.00.4
14.814.3
Auto5.0
Teleop7.4
End2.5
Third
7800
#32
9.80.4
10.310.7
Auto3.6
Teleop2.5
End3.6
blue by 4.0
4940
#23
13.80.7
13.713.0
Auto4.1
Teleop5.0
End4.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
1%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
8%HAB Docking oddsEarned61%HAB Docking oddsMissed