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Red59
492017.3
128525.2
748016.5
Blue57
86522.5
568916.3
705816.5
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions465120304060705957

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.21.0
20.721.8
Auto5.5
Teleop12.1
End7.6
red by 2.7
865
#14
22.50.6
21.221.8
Auto4.6
Teleop12.8
End5.2
Second
4920
#16
17.31.0
10.511.6
Auto4.2
Teleop6.1
End7.1
red by 0.9
7058
#13
16.51.0
14.215.2
Auto4.3
Teleop6.1
End6.1
Third
7480
#22
16.51.0
12.013.1
Auto4.8
Teleop7.5
End4.1
red by 0.2
5689
#27
16.31.0
12.813.7
Auto4.0
Teleop7.6
End4.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
38%HAB Docking oddsEarned29%HAB Docking oddsEarned