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Red62
219812.8
490325.3
620214.1
Blue31
459511.9
540815.4
582112.1
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions503810203060706231

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4903
#11
25.31.0
25.226.1
Auto4.1
Teleop16.2
End5.0
red by 9.8
5408
#17
15.40.5
11.711.2
Auto3.5
Teleop7.1
End4.9
Second
6202
#37
14.11.6
11.813.4
Auto4.3
Teleop6.3
End3.4
red by 2.0
5821
#29
12.10.5
11.410.9
Auto3.0
Teleop6.2
End2.8
Third
2198
#21
12.81.0
10.711.7
Auto4.6
Teleop6.4
End1.8
red by 0.9
4595
#34
11.90.5
12.712.2
Auto3.4
Teleop4.8
End3.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
31%HAB Docking oddsMissed19%HAB Docking oddsMissed