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Red48
748016.5
653711.6
705816.5
Blue63
263422.2
713617.9
492017.3
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions414720305060704863

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7058
#13
16.50.3
15.215.5
Auto4.3
Teleop6.1
End6.1
blue by 5.7
2634
#18
22.21.2
19.620.8
Auto5.5
Teleop12.6
End4.1
Second
7480
#22
16.50.2
13.113.3
Auto4.8
Teleop7.5
End4.1
blue by 1.4
17.91.2
13.114.4
Auto3.3
Teleop9.6
End5.0
Third
6537
#36
11.60.3
10.811.1
Auto2.1
Teleop5.6
End3.9
blue by 5.8
4920
#16
17.31.2
11.612.8
Auto4.2
Teleop6.1
End7.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
23%HAB Docking oddsEarned30%HAB Docking oddsEarned