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Red14
672517.4
78009.8
7738.2
Blue44
705816.5
591111.0
219812.8
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions38362030501444

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6725
#31
17.42.5
13.911.4
Auto5.3
Teleop7.3
End4.8
red by 0.9
7058
#13
16.50.4
15.515.9
Auto4.3
Teleop6.1
End6.1
Second
7800
#32
9.81.5
9.98.4
Auto3.6
Teleop2.5
End3.6
blue by 3.0
2198
#21
12.80.2
11.711.9
Auto4.6
Teleop6.4
End1.8
Third
773
#39
8.22.5
12.710.2
Auto2.7
Teleop5.2
End0.3
blue by 2.9
5911
#24
11.00.2
7.27.5
Auto3.4
Teleop4.1
End3.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsEarned
HAB Docking
33%HAB Docking oddsMissed38%HAB Docking oddsMissed