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Red77
77221.3
111437.4
493811.5
Blue47
633115.4
540815.4
605211.4
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions633610203040507080907747

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
37.41.2
30.331.4
Auto4.0
Teleop23.5
End9.9
red by 21.9
5408
#17
15.40.4
10.110.5
Auto3.5
Teleop7.1
End4.9
Second
772
#9
21.31.2
16.918.1
Auto4.2
Teleop10.4
End6.8
red by 5.9
6331
#30
15.40.2
13.013.3
Auto4.4
Teleop7.1
End3.9
Third
4938
#20
11.51.2
12.313.4
Auto4.3
Teleop5.5
End1.7
red by 0.1
6052
#40
11.40.4
10.510.9
Auto4.1
Teleop4.8
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
13%Rocket oddsEarned2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
74%HAB Docking oddsEarned35%HAB Docking oddsMissed