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Red43
77116.5
86522.5
542615.0
Blue50
492017.3
672517.4
459511.9
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions57391020305070804350

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
865
#14
22.50.9
22.221.2
Auto4.6
Teleop12.8
End5.2
red by 5.1
6725
#31
17.41.5
12.313.8
Auto5.3
Teleop7.3
End4.8
Second
771
#26
16.50.9
16.815.9
Auto5.1
Teleop8.0
End3.4
blue by 0.9
4920
#16
17.30.9
13.914.8
Auto4.2
Teleop6.1
End7.1
Third
5426
#35
15.00.9
14.913.9
Auto5.0
Teleop7.4
End2.5
red by 3.1
4595
#34
11.91.5
10.512.0
Auto3.4
Teleop4.8
End3.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
15%HAB Docking oddsMissed40%HAB Docking oddsEarned