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Red33
687511.1
582112.1
653711.6
Blue59
748016.5
540918.7
493622.8
18%Model gave it82%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions365110203040607080903359

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5821
#29
12.10.5
12.211.8
Auto3.0
Teleop6.2
End2.8
blue by 10.7
22.80.8
23.424.1
Auto5.2
Teleop11.5
End6.1
Second
6537
#36
11.60.5
12.311.9
Auto2.1
Teleop5.6
End3.9
blue by 7.1
5409
#12
18.70.7
13.914.6
Auto5.2
Teleop7.7
End5.8
Third
6875
#38
11.10.3
9.59.2
Auto5.3
Teleop3.2
End2.5
blue by 5.4
7480
#22
16.50.7
11.412.0
Auto4.8
Teleop7.5
End4.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed1%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
24%HAB Docking oddsMissed12%HAB Docking oddsMissed